Comment: Illusions, then and now

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


The situation of mathematical statistics today resembles the situation of Laplacean probability in the mid-19th century. Strong claims are made about how probability theory should be used. Yet it is widely misused and increasingly not used in the analysis of data. Perhaps we need a philosophy of probability that makes more modest and realistic claims.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)173-174
Number of pages2
JournalStatistical Science
Issue number2
StatePublished - May 1 2020
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Mathematics(all)
  • Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty


  • Cognitive illusions
  • Cournot
  • Foundations of probability
  • Laplace
  • Norms


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