Mean reversion across national stock markets and parametric contrarian investment strategies

Ronald Balvers, Yangru Wu, Erik Gilliland

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

183 Scopus citations

Abstract

For U.S. stock prices, evidence of mean reversion over long horizons is mixed, possibly due to lack of a reliable long time series. Using additional cross-sectional power gained from national stock index data of 18 countries during the period 1969 to 1996, we find strong evidence of mean reversion in relative stock index prices. Our findings imply a significantly positive speed of reversion with a half-life of three to three and one-half years. This result is robust to alternative specifications and data. Parametric contrarian investment strategies that fully exploit mean reversion across national indexes outperform buy- and-hold and standard contrarian strategies.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)745-772
Number of pages28
JournalJournal of Finance
Volume55
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Apr 2000
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Accounting
  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics

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