Mixed binary-continuous copula regression models with application to adverse birth outcomes

Nadja Klein, Thomas Kneib, Giampiero Marra, Rosalba Radice, Slawa Rokicki, Mark E. McGovern

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

8 Scopus citations

Abstract

Bivariate copula regression allows for the flexible combination of two arbitrary, continuous marginal distributions with regression effects being placed on potentially all parameters of the resulting bivariate joint response distribution. Motivated by the risk factors for adverse birth outcomes, many of which are dichotomous, we consider mixed binary-continuous responses that extend the bivariate continuous framework to the situation where one response variable is discrete (more precisely, binary) whereas the other response remains continuous. Utilizing the latent continuous representation of binary regression models, we implement a penalized likelihood–based approach for the resulting class of copula regression models and employ it in the context of modeling gestational age and the presence/absence of low birth weight. The analysis demonstrates the advantage of the flexible specification of regression impacts including nonlinear effects of continuous covariates and spatial effects. Our results imply that racial and spatial inequalities in the risk factors for infant mortality are even greater than previously suggested.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)413-436
Number of pages24
JournalStatistics in Medicine
Volume38
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Feb 10 2019
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Epidemiology
  • Statistics and Probability

Keywords

  • adverse birth outcomes
  • copula
  • latent variable
  • mixed discrete-continuous distributions
  • penalized maximum likelihood
  • penalized splines

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