Abstract
We join the debate on trade interdependence and conflict with a reexamination of Barbieri's (1996) intriguing empirical results showing that under certain circumstances, trade interdependence causes conflict. We argue that these findings resulted from a specification that was missing a variable. We return to Barbieri's models and introduce two independent power measures for countries within each dyad. When a correctly specified trade-conflict regression model incorporating the new power variables is performed, the constraining effect of interdependence becomes evident, and the results obtained are the reverse of Barbieri's.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 646-663 |
Number of pages | 18 |
Journal | Journal of Conflict Resolution |
Volume | 51 |
Issue number | 4 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Aug 2007 |
Externally published | Yes |
All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes
- General Business, Management and Accounting
- Sociology and Political Science
- Political Science and International Relations
Keywords
- Conflict
- Military power
- Omitted variable bias
- Trade interdependence
- Trade measurement