The effect of ex ante management forecast accuracy on the post-earnings-announcement drift

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Abstract

I examine the effect of ex ante management forecast accuracy on the postearnings-announcement drift when management forecasts about next quarter's earnings are bundled with current quarter's earnings announcements. I build a composite measure of ex ante management forecast accuracy that takes into account forecast ability, forecast difficulty, and forecast environment. The results show that the bundled forecasts with higher ex ante accuracy mitigate investors' under-reaction to current earnings and reduce the magnitude of the post-earnings-announcement drift.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1791-1818
Number of pages28
JournalAccounting Review
Volume87
Issue number5
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 2012
Externally publishedYes

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Accounting
  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics

Keywords

  • Bundled management forecast
  • Ex ante forecast accuracy
  • Post-earnings-announcement drift

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