Universal Applicability of Probation Risk‐Assessment Instruments: A Critique

KEVIN N. WRIGHT, TODD R. CLEAR, PAUL DICKSON

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

58 Scopus citations

Abstract

A probation risk‐assessment instrument developed by the State of Wisconsin is receiving wide use throughout the nation and has been recognized by the National Institute of Corrections as part of a “model system.” However, this has been done without extensive validation on populations other than Wisconsin probationers and parolees. The validity of the instrument for a population of City of New York probationers is assessed in this study. It was found that many of the variables contained in the instrument did not predict risk for the sample. On this basis. the validation of risk instruments before they are fully adopted is recommended. In addition, based on an analysis of split halves of our sample, the general weakness of statistically derived models is noted.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)113-134
Number of pages22
JournalCriminology
Volume22
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Feb 1984

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Pathology and Forensic Medicine
  • Law

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